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Bank Of Canada Cuts Interest Rates Amid US Tariff Threats

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The Bank of Canada on Wednesday, cut its key lending rate 25 basis points to 3.0 per cent, noting that US tariff threats are creating uncertainty for the economy.

The economy is expected to strengthen gradually and inflation to stay close to target (of two per cent),” the central bank said. “However, if broad-based and significant tariffs were imposed, the resilience of Canada’s economy would be tested.”

A protracted trade conflict (with the United States) would most likely lead to weaker GDP and higher prices in Canada,” it added.

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US President Donald Trump has said he would slap 25 per cent tariffs on imports from US neighbours Canada and Mexico as early as February 1.

READ ALAO: Canada To Reduce Immigration By 21% In 2025

Retaliation by Canada in the form of matching counter-tariffs, which officials have told AFP are already in the works, risks leading to a trade war between the two allies.

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Canada’s central bank said the situation has created “more-than-usual uncertainty” with the scope and duration of such a trade conflict “impossible to predict.”

It noted that the Canadian dollar has depreciated materially in advance of the tariffs being imposed. Oil prices have been volatile and rose above the bank’s last projection in October 2024.

Overall, the Canadian economy has recently picked up, despite weak business investment and a soft labour market, with both strong consumption and housing activity expected to continue.

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READ ALSO: From Oyo To Canada: Owoade’s Journey To Alaafin’s Throne

The bank, however, lowered its growth forecast to 1.8 per cent in both 2025 and 2026, down from 2.1 per cent and 2.3 per cent, respectively.

The central bank has been aggressively cutting interest rates since last June, and with inflation now largely under control analysts are tentatively expecting rates to be reduced by a further 75 basis points by year’s end.

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But tariffs, according to the central bank, would see Canadian exports — which mostly go to the United States, represent 20 per cent of Canada’s economy and support almost two million jobs — plunge.

There would also be significant job losses a further depreciation of the Canadian dollar and drop in business investment.

READ ALSO: Canada To Reduce Immigration By 21% In 2025

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In a baseline scenario, the bank said Canadian GDP growth would be 2.5 percentage points lower than with no tariffs in the first year, and 1.5 percentage points lower in the second year.

“Unfortunately, tariffs mean economies simply work less efficiently — we produce and earn less than without tariffs. Monetary policy cannot offset this. What we can do is help the economy adjust,” central bank governor Tiff Macklem said.

TD Bank economist James Orlando commented in a research note: “We are still hopeful that tariff threats are more of a negotiation tactic, meaning they would be temporary and carry less long-term impacts.”

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UK Police Arrest Asylum Seeker Sex Offender Mistakenly Freed

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The UK police on Sunday arrested an Ethiopian asylum seeker and convicted sex offender, whose crimes had sparked anti-immigration protests, after he was accidentally released from prison in an embarrassing blunder by British authorities.

London’s Metropolitan Police said officers arrested Hadush Kebatu in the north of the capital on Sunday morning, nearly 48 hours after he was mistakenly freed around 30 miles (48 kilometres) away.

Kebatu, 38, had served the first month of a one-year sentence for sexually assaulting a teenage girl and a woman, but was reportedly due to be deported when the Prison Service error occurred on Friday.

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His high-profile case earlier this year in Epping, northeast of London, sparked demonstrations in various English towns and cities where asylum seekers were believed to be housed, as well as counter-protests.

READ ALSO:UK Police Hunt Asylum Seeker Mistakenly Freed For Sex Offence

Commander James Conway, who oversaw the manhunt for him, said “information from the public” led officers to the Finsbury Park neighbourhood of London, where he was found.

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He was detained by police but will be returned to the custody of the Prison Service,” he added.

Kebatu is now expected to be deported.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer said Friday he was “appalled” by the “totally unacceptable” mistake that saw him freed rather than sent to an immigration detention centre.

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The Telegraph newspaper said he was wrongly categorised for release on licence and handed a £76 ($101) discharge grant.

READ ALSO:Alleged Misappropriation: MFM Accuses UK Agency Of Discrimination

Police had appealed Saturday for Kebatu to turn himself in, after reports emerged that he had appeared confused and reluctant to leave the prison in Chelmsford, eastern England.

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A delivery driver described seeing Kebatu return several times in a “very confused” state, only to be turned away by staff and directed to the railway station.

The driver told Sky News he saw Kebatu outside the jail, asking, “Where am I going? What am I doing?”

He was starting to get upset, he was getting stressed,” the driver said.

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READ ALSO:UK Is A Home, Not Hotel, Kemi Badenoch Tells Immigrants, Starmer’s Govt

The father of Kebatu’s anonymous teenage victim told the broadcaster that “the justice system has let us down.”

Police arrested the asylum seeker in July after he repeatedly tried to kiss a 14-year-old girl and touch her legs, and made sexually explicit comments to her.

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He also sexually assaulted an adult woman, placing a hand on her thigh, when she intervened to stop his interactions with the girl.

He was staying at the time at Epping’s Bell Hotel, where scores of other asylum seekers have been accommodated, and which became the target of repeated protests.

AFP

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Madagascar Revokes Ousted President’s Nationality

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Madagascar’s new government has stripped ousted president Andry Rajoelina of his Malagasy nationality in a decree published Friday, 10 days after he was removed in a military takeover.

According to AFP, the decree means that Rajoelina, who was impeached on October 14 after fleeing the island nation in the wake of weeks of protests, would not be able to contest future election.

The decree published in the official gazette said Rajoelina’s Malagasy nationality was revoked because he had acquired French nationality in 2014, local media reported, as photographs of the document were shared online.

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READ ALSO:Madagascar’s President Denounces ‘Coup Attempt’ As Gen Z Protests Escalate

French broadcaster RFI said it had confirmed the decree with the entourage of the new prime minister, Herintsalama Rajaonarivelo, who signed the order.

The decree cited laws stipulating that a Malagasy who voluntarily acquires a foreign nationality loses their Malagasy nationality.

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Rajoelina’s French nationality caused a scandal when it was revealed ahead of the November 2023 elections, nearly 10 years after it was granted.

READ ALSO:Madagascar Passes Bill To Castrate Child R*pists

It triggered calls for him to be disqualified but he went on to win the contested polls, which were boycotted by opposition parties.

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The 51-year-old politician fled Madagascar after army Colonel Michael Randrianirina said on October 11 his CAPSAT unit would refuse orders to put down the youth-led protest movement, which security forces had attempted to suppress with violence.

Rajoelina said later he was in hiding for his safety, but did not say where.

Randrianirina was sworn in as president on October 14, pledging elections within two years.

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Kamala Harris Hints At Running For President Again

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Former US vice president Kamala Harris said in a British television interview previewed in Saturday that she may “possibly” run again to be president.

Harris, who replaced Joe Biden as the 2024 Democratic presidential candidate but lost to Donald Trump, told the BBC that she had not yet decided whether to make another White House bid.

But the 61-year-old insisted she was “not done” in American politics and that her young grandnieces would see a female president in the Oval Office “in their lifetime, for sure”.

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READ ALSO:FULL LIST: Trump, Kamala, Netanyahu, Others Shortlisted For 2024 Time’s Person Of The Year

“I have lived my entire career a life of service, and it’s in my bones, and there are many ways to serve.

“I’ve not decided yet what I will do in the future, beyond what I am doing right now,” Harris told the British broadcaster in an interview set to air in full on Sunday.

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The comments are the strongest hint yet that Harris could attempt to be the Democratic Party nominee for the 2028 election.

READ ALSO:Kamala Harris Secures Democratic Presidential Nomination

The interview follows the release of her memoir last month, in which she argued it had been “recklessness” to let Biden run for a second term as president.

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She also accused his White House team of failing to support her while she was his deputy, and at times of actively hindering her.

AFP

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