Business

Nigeria’s Budget 2022 And Debt Service Implication [ANALYSIS]

Published

4 years ago

November 9, 2021

Richard Asoge

In compliance with the section 81 of the 1999 Nigeria Constitution as amended, the President of Federal Republic of Nigeria, Muhammadu Buhari, on October 7, 2021 laid before the National Assembly 2022 budget estimate for the country. Bringing it about three months before the implementation begins creates room for thorough dissecting and as well inviting all critical stakeholders which include ministries, departments and agencies on their take.

The year 2022 drafted budget is N16.39 trillion. Recurrent expenditure without debt service and capital expenditure is respectively to gulp N6.83 trillion and N4.89 trillion. Furthermore, debt service is to take a chunk of N3.9 trillion while statutory transfer is to take the sum of N768.28 billion. Breaking it down to a common man language, of every one hundred naira the country intends to spend in the coming year, about N24 goes on debt services to various organizations, institutions or countries which in the time past, Nigeria had obtained loans. As at August 2021, the records of Debt Management Office showed that Nigeria owed about N35 trillion to internal and external bodies. The country is enmeshed in debt. As if the damage was not enough, we are still asking for more loans like ‘Oliver Twist’. Of course, there is nothing wrong in obtaining a loan to finance a project if it is viable enough in the medium or long term to generate fund to pay the principal with the interest, or such project is capable of improving the living standard of the people. If the latter is the case, tax can be introduced to recoup the investment made on the project. Both debt service and direct statutory transfer are priority for settlement. The more the allocation for these headings in the given sum, the lower the fund available for developmental projects and other government financial responsibilities. It is time for us to think out of the box rather than go for loan or aid at every slight opportunity.

Considering the expected income in the year mainly from oil receipt, VAT and other sources, the total proposed expenditure is far more than that of income which gives room for about N6.26 trillion deficits. In other words, the country is expected to generate N10.21 trillion from various sources of income and borrow the balance. Of this shortfall, N5 trillion is expected to be sourced domestically, N1.2 trillion is to come via drawings from bilateral and multilateral loans while over N90 billion expected from the proceeds of privatization.

Oil receipt which is the largest source of income is benchmarked at $57 per barrel with 1.88 million barrel per day at official exchange rate of $410.15. The parameter used here is good and is more of the conservative side. Past records showed that Nigeria produced over 2 million barrel per day. If all things being equal, the figure will be attained easily and beyond. After a worldwide decline in the spate of COVID-19 spread, global oil market has rebounded and still rebounding. This manifested in the current oil price hovering between $80 and $84 per barrel in the international market. This implies that excess is expected from this sub-heading of the budget.

In the 2022 proposed budget, inflation is anchored within the threshold of 13%. This is a dream taken too far. The present situation of things in Nigeria does not indicate serious crashing in the prices of goods and services from the currently 18% to average of 13% in the coming year. If the statement credited to the Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Dr Zainab Ahmed, while given comprehensive analysis of the said budget that subsidy will be removed from fuel and electricity by the mid next year is enforced, then inflation will go far beyond the estimate of 13%. However, if all necessary supports were given to the local refineries (the existing government refineries and the upcoming private refineries) to operate to a reasonable capacity, removal of subsidy will not have substantial effects on the prices of goods and services but save already declined foreign exchange from going down deeper.

The beauty of any budget lies in its implementation or performance. Evidence from past years showed that revenue performance was always low to the expectation. This made implementation difficult. For instance, in year 2020, the proposed revenue was N5.37 trillion while the actual revenue attained for the year was N3.42 trillion. This was a variance of 36.3%. You may say COVID-19 caused. To me, that is not a strong defence. There had been similar trends over the years. In 2018 when there was nothing like COVID-19, projected revenue was N7.12 trillion while the actual revenue attained was N3.48 trillion given a variance of 51.1%. Justification of various spending and cutting down on the allowances and benefits of the political office holders will close the gap between the proposed expenditure and revenue.

It is very clear that development of any nation is proportional to the financial and other commitments made to research and development. Commitment and funding of research institutions in various areas of human endeavor give a nation an insight of what the future holds and makes preparation for it. This is the magic wand of the developed economies in the world.

Richard Asoge
Clappahouse Analytics
chards001@gmail.com
O8081492614.

Business

Fixed Income: CBN Announces Fresh Regulations To Control Nigerian Market

Published

2 days ago

October 3, 2025

Editor

The Central Bank of Nigeria has announced sweeping regulations to take control of the Nigerian fixed income market.

The regulations expected to begin in November are aimed at boosting transparency across Nigeria’s financial sector.
The apex bank disclosed this in a recent statement.

CBN noted that the intervention is a key part of broader financial market reforms.

Accordingly, it said its core objective is to enhance regulatory oversight and strengthen the market’s ability to effectively support the transmission of monetary policy and, ultimately, foster economic growth.

“This transition will enable the CBN to assume direct responsibility for the management of the trading platform and handle end-to-end settlement activities under the bank’s established settlement system for financial market transactions,” the statement read.

According to DAILY POST, Fixed income securities refer to investments which provide a return in the form of fixed periodic interest payments and the eventual return of the principal at maturity.

Business

Confusion Over Euro-Africa CCI’s $250m Investment In Edo

Published

6 days ago

September 29, 2025

Editor

The $250m investment deal Governor Monday Okpebholo claimed to have secured during his recent trip to Scotland is generating ripples over capacity of the European African Chamber of Commerce and Industry (EACCI) to make such a huge investment.

The EACCI, headed by a Drector General, Dr. Kingsley Obasohan, is not known to have made any prior investment in Edo State or any part of the country.

Obasohan, who attended the Edo State Global Investment Summit virtually, announced the $250m investment.

He said the investment would be made for a period of three years.

An online search was launched to unravel the EACCI as well as the man Obasohan.

A number on the site was answered by a lady who claimed not to understand English language.

Several foreign partners were listed on the site as board members and advisory council.

Some closed associates of Obasohan said he would have to get clearance from the Board members before talking to journalists on the issue.

Spokesman for the Edo Peoples Democratic Party, Daniel Noah Osa-Ogbegi, said the party would hold Governor Okpebholo accountable to Edo people and demanded clarity on the $250m investment from Glasgow.

Osa-Ogbegi said the proposed investment has become a source of embarrassment to Edo people because of unfolding information about EACCI.

He said the party would shine light on fiscal management practices that appeared to ignore transparency and responsibility.

Secretary to the State Government (SSG), Umar Musa Ikhilo, had earlier said those that attended the Glasgow summit were interested in keying into the SHINE agenda of Governor Okpebholo.

“One of the chambers of commerce that attended, the European African Chamber of Commerce and Industry signed an MoU with the Edo State Government to invest a sum of $250 million over the next three to five years.

“Last year, diaspora remittances were the second-highest source of foreign income in Nigeria after crude oil, over $20 billion, but only 2% of that went into investment. We are creating a vehicle to help convert more of that into direct investments.”

He added that a delegation from Scotland was expected to visit Edo State in the coming months to explore specific investment projects as a follow-up to the summit.

Business

Dangote Hits Out At PENGASSAN, Says Union ‘Serial Saboteurs, Serving Oligarchs’

Published

1 week ago

September 28, 2025

Editor

The management of Dangote Petroleum Refinery has berated the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN), accusing the union of decades-long sabotage of Nigeria’s oil and gas sector and serving the interests of its leaders rather than ordinary Nigerians.

In a statement issued at the weekend, the refinery described PENGASSAN’s latest directive to cut crude oil and gas supplies to the facility as another act of economic sabotage designed to inflict untold hardship on Nigerians.

“Indeed, over time, the Association has consistently proved itself as serving interests other than those of Nigerians and Nigerian workers,” the statement declared.

Dangote recalled that in 2007, when the Federal Government sold its moribund Port Harcourt and Kaduna refineries to Blue Star Consortium, led by the Dangote Group, for $750 million, it was PENGASSAN and its ally, the Nigeria Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers (NUPENG), that sabotaged the deal. “It is now obvious to everyone that the FGN’s decision at the time was the right one and that PENGASSAN and NUPENG ignominiously wrote their names on the wrong pages of history,” the company said.

The refinery also faulted the union’s role in the much-publicised rehabilitation of the Port Harcourt Refinery, describing it as a “ruse” which PENGASSAN “knowingly celebrated despite being a scam on Nigerians.” The statement further accused the union of opposing amendments to the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) that would have freed up federal liquidity and attracted private-sector funding into Nigeria’s upstream oil ventures.

Beyond policy obstruction, Dangote Refinery accused the association of mismanaging billions of naira in annual check-off dues to allegedly bankroll the “lavish lifestyles” of its leaders, without accountability to members. By contrast, the refinery highlighted its own record of economic contributions within a short period, citing road construction, worker training, the creation of thousands of Nigerian jobs, and a compensation structure that “outdistances the best in the Nigerian oil and gas industry.”

“The Dangote Group is the highest employer of labor in Nigeria and the highest contributor to the tax revenues of Nigeria and its sub-nationals. What comparable social responsibility has PENGASSAN, with its billions of Naira in annual check-off dues and subscriptions, lived up to?” the statement queried, challenging the union to publish its audited accounts for the past ten years. “Can it publish publicly its account for the last 10 years and list out its corporate responsibility activities within that timeframe?”

The refinery insisted that PENGASSAN’s recent directive to withdraw services and cut off essential fuel supplies, including but not limited to petrol, diesel, kerosene, cooking gas and aviation fuel was reckless, lawless and dangerous. It said the order is not about protecting Nigerian workers, but it is about a cabal of oligarchs weaponising hardship against over 230 million Nigerians.

“In the process, it (PENGASSAN) cares little if at all about the unbearable hardship and terror it would thereby inflict on all Nigerians, including but not limited to the provision of essential services in our hospitals and medical facilities, schools (nursery and right up to tertiary and research institutions), emergency services, communications facilities, transportation systems, etc,” it said.

Dangote Refinery called on the Federal Government and security agencies to step in immediately to protect the facility and the nation’s energy security, stressing that the union must not be allowed to “bully Nigerians into chaos and economic sabotage.”

According to Tribune Online, the federal government has announced readiness to broker peace between Dangote Refinery and PENGASSAN, inviting both to a meeting scheduled for Monday.