Business
Naira To Depreciate To N1,804 Per Dollar In 2025 – Report

The Nigerian Naira has been projected to depreciate to N1,804 per dollar fair value at the official market in 2025.
This is according to a recent report by Afrinvest, titled ‘Beyond The Rhetorics: Transforming Reforms to Tangibles’.
According to the report, the projection is based on the belief that the Central Bank of Nigeria may be constrained in the coming months in meeting up with foreign exchange demands and anticipated FX volatility.
READ ALSO: Naira Drops Against Dollar Amid Fresh Fuel Price Hike
“We anticipate that exchange rate volatility would persist in 2025, albeit at a modest pace.
“Our prognosis is hinged on the belief that the CBN would be constrained from adequately meeting market demand on a sustained basis, as the recent FX reserves accretion was largely driven by inflows from inorganic sources, including those with stringent conditions on usability,”, the report said.
This comes against the N1,500 per dollar benchmark proposed in the 2025 budget before the National Assembly.
READ ALSO: Naira Depreciates To N1,739/$ In Parallel Market
Meanwhile, on Friday the Naira gained at the official market to close at N1,534 per dollar and N1,650 at the black market.
Although Naira fluctuations had remained a constant phenomenon in 2024, the introduction of the Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System, EFEMS, in October had brought relative stability.
Business
BREAKING: Nigeria’s GDP Grows By 4.23% In Q2 2025 – NBS
Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product grew by 4.23 per cent (year-on-year) in the second quarter of 2025, the National Bureau of Statistics revealed in its Q2 2025 GDP Report.
According to the report released on Monday on its website, the figure shows a significant improvement compared to 3.48 per cent recorded in the second quarter of 2024 and the 3.13 per cent recorded in Q1 2025.
The figures signal a strengthening economy, driven by recent rebasing, rebound in oil production and a resilient non-oil sector.
READ ALSO: UK GDP Records Fastest Growth In Q1 2025
The report said, “Following the rebasing of the Gross Domestic Product using 2019 as the base year, previous quarterly GDP estimates were benchmarked to the rebased annual estimates to align the old series with the new rebased estimates
“This procedure provided a new quarterly GDP series, which is compared to the 2025 second quarter estimates. Gross Domestic Product grew by 4.23% (year-on-year) in real terms in the second quarter of 2025.
“This growth rate is higher than the 3.48 per cent recorded in the second quarter of 2024. During the quarter under review, agriculture grew by 2.82%, an improvement from the 2.60% recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2024.
READ ALSO: BREAKING: Nigeria’s GDP Grew By 3.46% In Q4 2023 — NBS
According to NBS, “The growth of the industry sector stood at 7.45% from 3.72% recorded in the second quarter of 2024, while the Services sector recorded a growth of 3.94% from 3.83% in the same quarter of 2024.”
The report said in terms of share of the GDP, “the Industry sector contributed more to the aggregate GDP in the second quarter of 2025 at 17.31% compared to the corresponding quarter of 2024 at 16.79%.”
It added, “In the quarter under review, aggregate GDP at basic price stood at N100,730,501.10 million in nominal terms. This performance is higher when compared to the second quarter of 2024, which recorded an aggregate GDP of N84,484,878.46 million, indicating a year-on-year nominal growth of 19.23%.”
Details later…
Business
Why Nigeria’s Crude Oil Production Dropped To 1.63mbpd In August – NUPRC
The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has explained that unscheduled maintenance at a refinery facility made Nigeria’s crude oil production drop on a month-on-month basis in August.
This comes as Nigeria’s crude oil production dropped to 1.63 million barrels per day month-on-month in August, down from 1.71 million bopd in July.
NUPRC disclosed this in its Crude Oil and Condensate Production for August 2025, released on Saturday.
This means a 4.7 per cent drop in combined crude oil and condensate production from 1.71 million bopd in July.
READ ALSO:Marketers Get Dangote’s Free Fuel Supply
In the same vein, crude oil production itself declined by 4.8 per cent, down from 1.5 million bopd in July 2025.
“The month-on-month drop was driven by a single-day unscheduled maintenance at an oil facility.
“In the month of August, the lowest and peak combined crude and condensate production were 1.59 million bopd and 1.85 million bopd, respectively,” NUPRC said.
The data showed that while there was a decline month-on-month, the country’s crude oil production rose on a year-on-year basis by 5.5 per cent to 1.63 mbpd in August this year from 1.58 million bopd in the same period last year.
READ ALSO:‘We Like Greek Gifts,’ Nigerians Blast NUPENG Over Dangote’s Fuel Price Reduction
Further analysis indicates that daily condensate production in August stood at 197,229 bpd, reflecting a decline.
Also, Nigeria’s crude oil output in August achieved 96 per cent of its OPEC quota, which is set at 1.5 million bopd.
Accordingly, in the period under review, Forcados Terminal topped the production charts, delivering a total of 8.99 million barrels, including 8.08 million barrels of crude oil and 915.2k barrels of condensates.
Business
Marketers Get Dangote’s Free Fuel Supply
Marketers on Friday confirmed that Dangote Refinery’s compressed natural gas-powered trucks have started delivering fuel to their stations at no cost to them.
The National President of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Abubakar Shettima, confirmed this to our correspondent in an interview on Friday.
Recall that Dangote Refinery rolled out over 1,000 CNG trucks on Monday, saying the entire 4,000 would be in the country before October.
The direct fuel distribution scheme was initially scheduled to commence on August 15, but was delayed due to logistics challenges in China.
READ ALSO:Dangote Refinery Reduces Fuel Price Nationwide, Provides Update On Petrol Distribution
A total of 4,000 CNG trucks were ordered from China for delivery in Lagos. However, the plan was stalled as there were insufficient vessels to transport the trucks.
Speaking with our correspondent, the IPMAN president said independent marketers in the South West have started receiving the trucks in their stations to offload petroleum products.
Shettima said only registered marketers can receive the free delivery from Dangote Refinery.
He said the stopping of fuel sales to unregistered marketers by the refinery is not a big deal, as marketers can register on the Dangote portal anytime they are ready.
READ ALSO:‘We Like Greek Gifts,’ Nigerians Blast NUPENG Over Dangote’s Fuel Price Reduction
“If you don’t register, your name will not appear on the system unless you register through the portal, which the company has been announcing for a long time. But marketers can register at any time, even at night, because it’s not difficult. You will just input all your information and register. So, that one is not an issue at all,” Shettima said.
He told our correspondent that marketers in Lagos, Ogun and Ondo have confirmed the receipt of Dangote’s logistics-free fuel.
“Dangote has started the free delivery. Already, the trucks have started moving. In most parts of the Western Zone, they have already started discharging their products, since it is closer to Lagos. So the plan is moving seriously. And my marketers are very pleased with the development.
“I can confirm to you that my members have started receiving the trucks in Lagos, Ondo, Ogun, Ibadan and others,” Shettima stated.
READ ALSO:NUPENG Accuses Dangote Of Breaching Agreement, Says Nationwide Strike Inevitable
Speaking on the price, the IPMAN boss explained that prices would drop from N865 to N841 the moment petrol gets to the stations under the new arrangement.
“The prices have started coming down; even here now, when you push it to Abuja, you will see the price reduction. Wherever he discharges, all the independent marketers, anywhere he discharges, you will see there will be a price change.
“The MRS filling stations have started reducing prices, they have with independent petroleum marketers. Any marketer who applies for the product and receives it will reduce the price,” he stressed.
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