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Oil Production Rises 26.57m Bpd In February — OPEC

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The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries said crude oil production increased by 203,000 barrels per day ( bpd) in February to an average of 26.57 million barrels per day.

According to OPEC’s monthly oil market report obtained by Punch Online on Wednesday, the Organisation left the crude oil demand forecast unchanged.

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“Crude oil output increased mainly in Libya and Nigeria, while production in Iran and Iraq decreased. Libya’s production climbed by around 144,000 bpd, the largest growth seen last month, while output rose in Nigeria and Saudi Arabia by 47,000 bpd and 18,000 bpd, respectively.”

Released on Tuesday, the monthly oil market report indicated that the production in Iran and Iraq declined by 15,000 bpd and 14,000 bpd, respectively.

READ ALSO: Nigeria Should Join BRICS, Sell Crude Oil In Naira – Falana Tells FG

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“Demand for OPEC crude is projected to stand at about 28.5 million bpd in 2024, 1.1 million bpd higher than in 2023, while demand for OPEC crude in 2025 is expected to reach about 28.8 million bpd.”

Meanwhile, “the non-OPEC output forecast for 2024 has been revised downward. OPEC natural gas liquids and non-conventional liquids production is expected to increase by around 60,000 bpd to average 5.5 million bpd this year, and additional growth of 110,000 bpd is forecast for 2025 to an average 5.6 million bpd.”

Non-OPEC liquids output is forecast to grow by 1.1 million bpd to average 70.5 million bpd in 2024. “This reflects a 120,000 bpd downward revision, compared with the previous month’s assessment, due to the extension of additional voluntary adjustments in 2Q24 by some countries,” it said in OPEC’s report.

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In 2025, “non-OPEC liquids production is expected to reach 71.9 million bpd, with a growth rate of 1.4 million bpd. The main drivers for liquid supply growth are projected to be the US, Brazil, Canada, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Norway, while production is forecast to see a major decline in Mexico and Angola.

“The global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 remains unchanged from last month’s assessment at 2.2 million bpd, year-on-year.

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“Total world oil demand is projected to reach 104.5 million bpd this year, ‘supported by strong air travel demand and increased road mobility, including on-road diesel and trucking, as well as healthy industrial, construction, and agricultural activities, particularly in non-OECD countries,” OPEC said.

Oil demand in the OECD is forecast to grow by around 300,000 bpd year over year, led by OECD Americas and further supported by a minor uptick from OECD Europe and Asia Pacific.

In the non-OECD, OPEC said in its latest report that oil demand is expected to grow by 2 million bpd year over year, driven by China and supported by the Middle East, other Asia, India and Latin America.

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In 2025, global oil demand is expected to see a robust year-over-year growth of 1.8 million bpd. “The OECD is expected to grow by 100,000 bpd on an annual basis, while demand in the non-OECD is forecast to increase by 1.7 million bpd”, OPEC’s monthly oil market report stated.

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Dangote Refinery Reduces Fuel Price

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Dangote Petroleum Refinery has announced a reduction in the ex-depot (gantry) price of Premium Motor Spirit, PMS, commonly known as petrol, by N30, from N850 to N820 per litre, effective from August 12, 2025.

This was disclosed in a statement by the company’s spokesman, Anthony Chijiena, on Tuesday.

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The 650,000-barrel-per-day plant said the move is part of its unwavering commitment to national development, assuring the public of a consistent and uninterrupted supply of petroleum products.

READ ALSO:Dangote Refinery Gets New CEO

In line with our dedication to operational excellence and sustainable energy solutions, Dangote Petroleum Refinery will commence the phased deployment of 4,000 CNG-powered trucks for fuel distribution across Nigeria, effective August 15, 2025,” said Chijiena.

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The announcement comes as the refinery prepares to commence direct fuel distribution nationwide. The development is expected to lead petroleum product marketers to reduce their pump prices in the coming days.

In Abuja, the retail fuel price stood between N885 and N970 per litre as of Tuesday evening.

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Indian Refiners Abandon Russia For Nigerian Crude, As Dangote Refinery Relies On US

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India Refineries have abandoned Russian crude for Nigerian crude, while domestic refiner Dangote Refinery relies heavily on West Texas Intermediate crude from the United States of America.

This followed a recent sanction threat by US president Donald Trump on India over continued patronage of Russian crude.

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According to Reuters, industry sources said that Indian Oil Corporation recently bought one million barrels of Nigeria’s Agbami crude for September 2025 delivery in a tender awarded to global trader Trafigura.

Also included are one million barrels of Angola Girassol, one million barrels of US Mars, three million barrels of Abu Dhabi Murban, and two million barrels of Nigerian oil, according to Reuters.

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The report noted that the purchase is part of a broader sourcing spree that has seen Indian refiners secure millions of barrels from non-Russian sources post July 2025.

Meanwhile, Indian refiners secured purchases of Nigerian crude grades; the $20bn Dangote Petroleum Refinery in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos, is relying on around 60 percent on US and other imoorts to feed its processing units.

Data showed that the refinery imported an average of 10 million barrels in July 2025, saying it was increasingly relying on the US for its feedstock despite the naira-for-crude deal with the Federal Government, which kicked off in October last year.

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According to Reuters, the Indian Oil Corp and Bharat Petroleum have bought a million barrels of non-Russian crude billed for delivery in September and October after the US pressured India to halt purchases from Russia.

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Indian state refiners had been largely absent from the Nigerian crude market spotlight since 2022; they have in the past concentrated on Russian crude amid the Russian-Ukrainian war. However, the Indian refiners paused Russian purchases in late July 2025 after pressure from US President Donald Trump.

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On the part of Dangote Refinery, data from commodities analytics firm Kpler showed that in July, US barrels accounted for about 60 percent of Dangote’s 590,000 barrels per day of crude intake, with Nigerian grades making up the remaining 40 percent.

In July, the Dangote refinery’s crude imports surged to a record 590 kbd—driven largely by US barrels overtaking Nigerian supply for the first time—amid ongoing domestic sourcing challenges, Kpler reports.

“While WTI has held a significant share in Dangote’s import slate since March, this is the first time US crude has overtaken Nigerian supply—a shift driven by several factors,” Kpler stated.

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NNPCL Increases Fuel Price

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, NNPCL, has increased the pump price of premium motor spirit across its retail outlets.

It was gathered that NNPCL retail outlets in Abuja have adjusted their fuel pump price to N955 per litre from N890.

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This is the case in NNPCL retail outlets along Kubwa Expressway, Wuse and other parts of Abuja.

READ ALSO:Fuel Station Manager, Three Others Arrested For Robbery

Similarly, the pump price hike has been implemented at filling stations in Kogi and Nasarawa.

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This means that the petrol pump price was increased by N65.

This comes after independent petroleum product marketers and filling station owners in Abuja increased petrol pump prices to between N950 and N971 per litre at the weekend. Their decision followed an upward review of the ex-depot petrol price by Dangote Refinery to N858 per litre, up from N820.

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