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Only Seven Banks Can Meet CBN Recapitalisation Requirements – Report

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No fewer than 17 out of the existing 24 Deposit Money Banks may be unable to meet the Central Bank of Nigeria’s capital requirement if it is increased from its current N25bn, according to a report by Ernst and Young.

The new report, titled “Navigating the Horizon: Charting the Course for Banks amid Plans for Recapitalisation”, noted that if the apex bank raised the capital base of commercial banks in the country by 15-fold from the current N25bn, only seven banks may survive.

The CBN Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, had in several fora stated that the apex bank would consider an increase in the minimum capital base of banks in the country as part of its efforts to strengthen their capacity to support Nigeria’s drive to become a $1tn economy by 2026.

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The current capital base is stratified based on the type of banking license – banks with regional, national and international licenses are currently expected to maintain a minimum capital base of N10bn, N25bn and N50bn, respectively.

READ ALSO: JUST IN: CBN Begins Sales Of Dollars To BDCs

The proposed increase in the capital base is coming nearly two decades after the CBN’s 2004 banking reform, which led to an increase of the then prevailing capital base from N2bn to N25bn.

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The 2004 banking reform was characterised by massive mergers and acquisition activities, which ultimately resulted in the reduction of the number of banks in the country from 89 to 25 banks.

In the last few months, FBN Holdings, Wema Bank and Jaiz Bank had proposed Rights Issues, while Fidelity Bank announced plans to raise additional capital via the issuance of 13,200 billion ordinary shares via public offer and rights issue.

Ernst and Young, a global financial services company, said in the report that some banks may depend on different recapitalisation options, which include mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings, placements and/or right issues and undistributed profit (retained earnings) despite financial soundness indicators show that Nigerian banks were largely safe and resilient as of 2023.

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According to the report, the recent plan by the CBN to increase the capital base of banks will lead to a series of mergers and acquisitions as witnessed during the last recapitalisation exercise in 2004/2005.

READ ALSO: FG Breaks Silence On Alleged Suspension Of Student Loan

The report read partly, “The recent plan by the CBN to increase the capital base of banks could again lead to M&A activities but not as widespread as was the case in 2004/2005 given the relatively solid financial positions of the banks today as well as the occurrence of several M&A activities in the banking sector over the past 10 years.

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“While the CBN governor did not indicate the magnitude of the proposed hike in the capital base, we have assumed what the proposed increment will be based on three different scenarios underpinned by current macroeconomic conditions. On the back of that, we were able to determine the number of banks (across the three licence types) that may fall below the new minimum capital thresholds.

“In a worst-case scenario, i.e., given a capital multiplier of 15, about 17 out of 24 banks would not meet the new minimum capital.”

The report noted that the plan to recapitalise banks was premised upon the recent devaluation of the naira in 2023.

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It explained that the exchange rate as of 2005 during the last exercise in 2005 stood at N132.9/$ but the naira currently exchange for over N1400/$.

According to the firm, this implies that the recapitalisation may require a capital multiplier of 10 or more based on the exchange rate differentials.

“On this basis, a worst-case scenario given a 15x capital multiplier for 24 banks will be considered based on the type of banking licenses held. We have benchmarked the current capital of these banks against the current capital requirement and four recapitalization scenarios,” it noted.

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Naira Appreciates Against Dollar At Official FX Market

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…Black market (Buying and selling rates): N1,385— N1,390

The Nigerian naira appreciated against the United States (US) dollar, trading at N1,331.2027 at the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) official foreign exchange (FX) window on Friday, September 18, 2026.

The data shared on the CBN’s official platform shows that the naira traded at the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) rate of N1,331.2027 per dollar and closed at N1,329.9900 per dollar.

The currency, which traded at an NFEM rate of N1,331.2812 on September 17, 2026, appreciated by at least N0.08 after trading activities on Friday.

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READ ALSO: Naira To Dollar Exchange Rate At Official FX Market

At the parallel market, both the buying and selling rate decreased by N5, when compared to the previous trading rate on Thursday, September 17, 2026.

According to Aboki FX , the Naira-to-dollar exchange rate at the black market on Friday, September 18, 2026, was N1,385 and N1,390 per dollar for buying and selling rates, respectively.

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Again, Naira Depreciates Against Dollar At Official FX Market

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…Black market (Buying and selling rates): N1,380— N1,385

The Nigerian naira depreciated against the United States (US) dollar, trading at N1,329.8568 at the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) official foreign exchange (FX) window on Wednesday, September 16, 2026.

The data shared on the CBN’s official platform shows that the naira traded at the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) rate of N1,329.8568 per dollar and closed at N1,329.5600 per dollar.

The currency, which traded at an NFEM rate of N1,329.1485 on September 15, 2026, depreciated by at least N0.71 after trading activities on Wednesday.

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READ ALSO: Naira To Dollar Exchange Rate At Official FX Market

At the parallel market, both the buying and selling rate remained the same, when compared to the previous trading rate on Tuesday, September 15, 2026.

According to Aboki FX , the Naira-to-dollar exchange rate at the black market on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, was N1,380 and N1,385 per dollar for buying and selling rates, respectively.

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How To Buy Dangote Refinery Shares As IPO Opens September 14

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Investors seeking to own a stake in the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE will be able to subscribe to its initial public offering (IPO) from September 14, 2026.

The ₦2.15 trillion offer by Dangote, valued at about $1.6 billion, involves 4.1 billion ordinary shares priced at an indicative ₦525 per share.

The offer, which is expected to become Nigeria’s largest-ever public share sale, will remain open until October 13, 2026.

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The development gives Nigerians and other eligible investors an opportunity to acquire shares in the refinery as the Dangote Group moves to broaden ownership of the business.

At the signing of the IPO documents in Lagos on September 7, President of Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, said the offer was designed to enable ordinary Nigerians to become shareholders in the refinery.

“What we are trying to achieve is to make sure our drivers, cooks, servants, and everybody have the opportunity of having stakes in the refinery,” Dangote said.

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READ ALSO: BREAKING: Dangote Refinery Reduces Petrol, Diesel Prices

How to subscribe

According to the Managing Director, Investment Banking, Chapel Hill Denham, Mr Lanre Buluro, prospective investors can subscribe digitally using a bank account, Bank Verification Number (BVN) and a mobile phone or laptop.

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He said an investor can complete the process within two to three minutes, with the minimum subscription set at 10 shares.

At ₦525 per share, the minimum subscription of 10 shares will cost ₦5,250.

Buluro said investors could access the offer through platforms including Moniepoint, MTN MoMo, Airtel, Payaza, Piggyvest, Paga, Bamboo and Chapel Hill Denham’s Invest Naija platform.

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Do I need a CSCS account?

Buluro said prospective investors do not necessarily need an existing Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) identity number before subscribing.

READ ALSO: Dangote Refinery Reduces Petrol Gantry Price

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According to him, a CSCS account can be created for a new investor during the subscription process after the investor’s BVN and bank account details have been verified.

He explained that stockbrokers are behind the participating platforms and would contact subscribers after the transaction to provide their CSCS and Clearing House Number (CHN).

The allotted shares will subsequently be domiciled in the investor’s CSCS account.

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What happens after subscription?

Investors can subscribe throughout the offer period, which runs from September 14 to October 13.

At the close of the offer, the advisers and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will assess the total subscriptions and determine the final allotment.

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This means investors may not necessarily receive all the shares they apply for if the offer is oversubscribed.

READ ALSO: Dangote Unveils 10-day Credit Facility For Petrol Station Owners

Buluro disclosed that the offer has a provision to accommodate additional subscriptions in the event of oversubscription.

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He said up to about 30 per cent additional shares could be issued under the oversubscription provision, potentially increasing the number of shares available from 4.1 billion to about 5.3 billion.

Before you invest
Buluro advised prospective investors, particularly first-time investors, to read the IPO prospectus carefully and seek guidance from a qualified financial adviser before committing their funds.

Investors should also understand that subscribing to an IPO does not guarantee a profit. The value of shares can rise or fall after allotment, depending on the company’s performance and market conditions.

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The Dangote Refinery IPO is expected to significantly deepen public participation in the Nigerian capital market by allowing more individuals to take direct equity positions in one of the country’s largest industrial projects.
(TRIBUNE)

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