Business
Budget 2023: Fears As Oil Price Drops 3% To $73.87 Per Barrel
Published
2 years agoon
By
Editor
There were fears, weekend, as the price of Nigeria’s premium oil grade, Bonny Light, dropped to $73.87 per barrel, from $76.37, recorded last week, indicating a fall of three percent.
The Federal government had benchmarked the 2023 budget at $75 per barrel and 1.8 million barrels per day, bpd, including condensate, which Nigeria has the capacity to produce between 300,000 – 400,000 barrels per day, bpd.
The drop in price that also affected other crudes was attributed to the global economic slowdown, especially some developed economies that buy commercial oil from Nigeria and other major oil nations.
In its latest report obtained by Vanguard, yesterday, Goldman Sachs – a research organization – disclosed that based on the global economic slowdown, it would not be possible for oil to hit $100 per barrel this year, which it had earlier forecasted.
READ ALSO: Rising Oil Price: NNPC Subsidiary Foresees Demand Growth
Goldman Sachs noted that the current poor state of the global economy has already culminated in the collapse of two big banks in the United States.
The report which now expects oil price to hover at $94 per barrel in the coming 12 months, before landing at $97 per barrel in 2024, stated: “Oil prices have plunged despite the China demand boom given banking stress, recession fears, and an exodus of investor flows.”
Oil price, production
In its March 2023 Monthly Oil Market Report, Monthly Oil Market Reports, MOMRs, obtained by Vanguard, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC, that Nigeria’s oil production rose MoM by 3.8 percent to 1.306 million bpd in February 2023, from 1.258 million bpd recorded in the preceding month of January 2023.
Also, on year-on-year, YoY, the nation’s oil production increased by 3.8 percent to 1.306 million bpd in February 2023, from 1.258 million bp/d recorded in the corresponding period of 2022.
Budget 2023 challenged — OGSPAN
Despite the rise in oil output, the National President, Oil, and Gas Service Providers Association of Nigeria, OGSPAN, Mazi Colman Obasi, observed that Nigeria might be challenged to meet its 1.8 million bpd OPEC quota, excluding condensate, because of increased pipeline vandalism, oil theft and illegal refining in the Niger Delta.
READ ALSO: Global Oil Price Drops To $0.01/Barrel
He said: “The governments still have a long way to go in funding the budget. We should not be comfortable because of the recent increase in production. There are indications that the recent gains remain by far less than the huge volumes we still lost to oil thieves in the Niger Delta.”
But in another interview with Vanguard, the Lead promoter, EnergyHub Nigeria, Prof. Felix Amieyeofori, noted that the current market situation would be short-lived.
He said: “This is seasonal. The average price forecast as China stabilizes this year will be around $80-100 bpd. It will bounce back.”
New administration should implement PIA — EnergyHub
He said: “The new Government in 2023 must ensure full implementation of the PIA in order to optimize the operating environment for investors. Otherwise, funding will be a challenge. There must be collective efforts from all sectors and agencies between government and the private sectors to midwife the 2023 budget targets.”
We intend to produce 2.2 million bpd — NNPC Limited
Recently, the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited said in 2023, Nigeria was working to realize an average of 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd), including condensate.
Speaking in an interview session at the 13th global United Arab Emirate, UAE virtual energy forum, Mele Kyari, group chief executive officer (GCEO), NNPC Limited, who attributed low production to the limited investment of the past, had said: “In our case, we have a different challenge other than just a lack of investment in the last four to five years. There has been no investment in the last four to five years. That is correct. That is true in many other jurisdictions where cash flows do not support the investment.
READ ALSO: Crude Oil Sales Rise By 46% To N21tn – NBS
“In our case, we had a different challenge – security challenge – that became very manifest in early-2022. And of course, we took definite steps to bring back production and this is paying up.
“For instance, in around July, our net crude oil, excluding condensate, came down to around 1 million bpd. That is the lowest ever in the history of our country and our industry.”
He also said: “So for us, we see a trajectory of restoring production, including condensate, within the year. Definitely, we believe that we can hit our target of 2.2 million bpd but our OPEC target is 1.8 million bpd, but we know that it is practical to do 2.2 million within 2023.”
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Business
NNPCL Reduces Fuel Price After Dangote Refinery’s Adjustment
Published
2 days agoon
August 14, 2025By
Editor
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited has reduced its premium motor spirit pump price on Thursday, according to DAILY POST.
It was confirmed that NNPCL retail outlets in the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, have reduced their pump price to N890 per litre from N945.
This new fuel price has been reflected in NNPCL retail outlets such as mega station Danziyal Plaza, Central Area, Wuse Zone 4, Wuse Zone 6, and other of its filling stations in the nation’s capital.
READ ALSO:N5bn Damage: NNPCL Secures Appeal Court Victory Against Ararume
The latest downward review of fuel price in NNPCL outlets represents an N55 reduction in fuel pump price.
“It was reduced to N890 per litre this afternoon, down from N945,” an NNPCL fuel attendant told DAILY POST anonymously on Thursday.
This comes a Nigerian filling station, MRS Empire Energy, on Thursday adjusted their fuel pump price to N885 and N946 per litre, down from N910 and N955 per litre.
The latest fuel price reduction trend is unconnected to Dangote Refinery’s ex-depot petrol price adjustment by N30 to N820 per litre from N850 and the price of crude oil in the international market.
Dangote Petroleum Refinery has announced a reduction in the ex-depot (gantry) price of Premium Motor Spirit, PMS, commonly known as petrol, by N30, from N850 to N820 per litre, effective from August 12, 2025.
This was disclosed in a statement by the company’s spokesman, Anthony Chijiena, on Tuesday.
The 650,000-barrel-per-day plant said the move is part of its unwavering commitment to national development, assuring the public of a consistent and uninterrupted supply of petroleum products.
READ ALSO:Dangote Refinery Gets New CEO
“In line with our dedication to operational excellence and sustainable energy solutions, Dangote Petroleum Refinery will commence the phased deployment of 4,000 CNG-powered trucks for fuel distribution across Nigeria, effective August 15, 2025,” said Chijiena.
The announcement comes as the refinery prepares to commence direct fuel distribution nationwide. The development is expected to lead petroleum product marketers to reduce their pump prices in the coming days.
In Abuja, the retail fuel price stood between N885 and N970 per litre as of Tuesday evening.
Business
Indian Refiners Abandon Russia For Nigerian Crude, As Dangote Refinery Relies On US
Published
5 days agoon
August 11, 2025By
Editor
India Refineries have abandoned Russian crude for Nigerian crude, while domestic refiner Dangote Refinery relies heavily on West Texas Intermediate crude from the United States of America.
This followed a recent sanction threat by US president Donald Trump on India over continued patronage of Russian crude.
According to Reuters, industry sources said that Indian Oil Corporation recently bought one million barrels of Nigeria’s Agbami crude for September 2025 delivery in a tender awarded to global trader Trafigura.
Also included are one million barrels of Angola Girassol, one million barrels of US Mars, three million barrels of Abu Dhabi Murban, and two million barrels of Nigerian oil, according to Reuters.
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The report noted that the purchase is part of a broader sourcing spree that has seen Indian refiners secure millions of barrels from non-Russian sources post July 2025.
Meanwhile, Indian refiners secured purchases of Nigerian crude grades; the $20bn Dangote Petroleum Refinery in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos, is relying on around 60 percent on US and other imoorts to feed its processing units.
Data showed that the refinery imported an average of 10 million barrels in July 2025, saying it was increasingly relying on the US for its feedstock despite the naira-for-crude deal with the Federal Government, which kicked off in October last year.
According to Reuters, the Indian Oil Corp and Bharat Petroleum have bought a million barrels of non-Russian crude billed for delivery in September and October after the US pressured India to halt purchases from Russia.
READ ALSO:
Indian state refiners had been largely absent from the Nigerian crude market spotlight since 2022; they have in the past concentrated on Russian crude amid the Russian-Ukrainian war. However, the Indian refiners paused Russian purchases in late July 2025 after pressure from US President Donald Trump.
On the part of Dangote Refinery, data from commodities analytics firm Kpler showed that in July, US barrels accounted for about 60 percent of Dangote’s 590,000 barrels per day of crude intake, with Nigerian grades making up the remaining 40 percent.
In July, the Dangote refinery’s crude imports surged to a record 590 kbd—driven largely by US barrels overtaking Nigerian supply for the first time—amid ongoing domestic sourcing challenges, Kpler reports.
“While WTI has held a significant share in Dangote’s import slate since March, this is the first time US crude has overtaken Nigerian supply—a shift driven by several factors,” Kpler stated.
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