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Rising Oil Price: NNPC Subsidiary Foresees Demand Growth

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The price of crude oil continued its rise on Thursday, increasing to $113.06/barrel at 5.40pm Nigerian time, as the National Petroleum Investment Management Services projected that the demand for oil would continue to increase till 2050.

NAPIMS, a subsidiary of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, is the corporate services unit of NNPC mandated to manage the company’s upstream business.

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The PUNCH reported on Wednesday that Brent, the crude against which Nigeria’s oil is priced, rose to $111.03/barrel. On Thursday, the commodity moved up further to $113.06/barrel, as the war by Russia in Ukraine entered its first week.

Speaking at the Nigeria International Energy Summit 2022, the Group General Manager, NAPIMS, Bala Wunti, said the products from fossil, particularly the demand for crude oil, would continue to grow.

He said, “You have nuclear also growing, natural gas will grow, the oil will grow. Up to the year 2050, the oil will continue to grow, obviously not at the one or two per cent that we used to know.

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“Gas will continue to grow and it, therefore, means that up to 2050 hydrocarbons will continue to grow. So we better do something with the supply.

“When you look at the energy mix equation, we think over 50 per cent of the global energy will be met by hydrocarbon oil and gas.”

READ ALSO: Fuel Scarcity: Federal Fire Service Warns Against Storage Of PMS In Homes

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He added, “It is precisely about 52 per cent, and specifically when you talk about oil and gas, that will constitute almost 57 per cent. Therefore, for the world to think that they can ignore and overlook hydrocarbon, it is to put in place a recipe for social destabilisation.

“It is a recipe for bringing down development and growth, causing shortfall in energy supply and that’s why we need investments. However, the reality today is that there’s no investment.”

Wunti told delegates at the summit that Nigeria was sitting on 28 billion barrels of liquid oil reserves and about 160 trillion cubic feet of gas being managed by NAPIMS both in terms of liquid and gaseous forms.

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We manage 75 per cent of the nation’s hydrocarbon reserves,” he stated, adding that there was a need for robust investments in the sector to adequately take advantage of its potentials.

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Naira Depreciates Against Dollar

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The Naira experienced a slight depreciation on Friday at the official market, trading at N1,528.56 to the dollar.

Data obtained from the website of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that the Naira lost N2.73.

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This represents a 0.17 percent loss compared to the N1,525.82 recorded on Thursday.

READ ALSO:Naira Appreciates At Official Market

The Naira, which opened the week on Monday with a gain of N9.52 against the dollar, held steady gains until Thursday.

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On Wednesday, the local currency gained N3.42 against the dollar and received commendation from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The IMF, in its 2025 Article IV Consultation report on Nigeria, commended the CBN for its reforms to the foreign exchange market, which supported price discovery and liquidity.

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JUST IN: Dangote Refinery Hikes Petrol Ex-depot Price

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Nigerians may soon pay more for petrol as the Dangote Petroleum Refinery on Friday increased its ex-depot price for Premium Motor Spirit to N880 per litre, raising fresh concerns over fuel affordability and price volatility in the downstream sector.

Checks on petroleumprice.ng, a platform tracking daily product prices, and a Pro Forma Invoice seen by The PUNCH confirmed the hike, representing a N55 increase from the previous rate of N825 per litre.

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The increment would ripple across the entire fuel distribution chain, likely pushing pump prices above N900/litre in some parts of the country, especially in areas far from the distribution hubs.

The hike comes despite global crude prices falling. Brent crude dipped by 3.02% to $76.47, WTI fell to $74.93, and Murban dropped to $76.97 on Friday. The decline in benchmarks offers little relief due to persistent fears of sudden supply disruptions.

READ ALSO: JUST IN: Dangote Refinery Sashes Petrol Gantry Price

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The refinery has increased its reliance on imported U.S. crude and operational costs amid exchange rate instability, which adds to its pricing pressure.

On Thursday, the President of the Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, said his 650,000-barrel capacity refinery is “increasingly” relying on the United States for crude oil.

This came as findings showed that the Dangote Petroleum Refinery is projected to import a total of 17.65 million barrels of crude oil between April and July 2025, beginning with about 3.65 million barrels already delivered in the past two months, amid ongoing allocations under the Federal Government’s naira-for-crude policy.

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Dangote informed the Technical Committee of the One-Stop Shop for the sale of crude and refined products in naira initiative that the refinery was still battling crude shortages, which had led it to resort to imports from the United States.

READ ALSO:Dangote Stops Petrol Sale In Naira, Gives Condition For Resumption

On Monday, the president of the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria, Festus Osifo, accused oil marketers of exploiting Nigerians through inflated petrol prices, insisting that the current pump price of PMS should range between N700 and N750 per litre.

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He criticised the disparity between falling global crude oil prices and the stagnant retail price of petrol in Nigeria.

“If you go online and check the PLAT cost per cubic metre of PMS, convert that to litres and then to our Naira, you will see that with crude at around $60 per barrel, petrol should be retailing between N700 and N750 per litre.”

He asserted that if Nigerians bear the brunt of higher fuel costs, they should be allowed to enjoy the benefit of low pricing.

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His forecast of increased costs now appears spot on, considering the latest developments.

Marketers are already adjusting. Depot owners and fuel distributors in Lagos and other cities anticipate a domino effect, with new price bands expected to follow Dangote’s lead.

Many had held back pricing decisions since Tuesday, when the refinery halted sales and withheld fresh PFIs. The delay fueled speculation, allowing opportunistic price hikes across various depots.

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Naira Appreciates At Official Market

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The Naira, which has seen steady appreciation against the Dollar all week, closed stronger on Friday, trading at ₦1,580.44 in the official forex market.

Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria’s website show the Naira gained ₦4.51k against the Dollar on Friday alone.

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This marks a 0.28 per cent appreciation from Thursday’s closing rate of ₦1,584.95 in the official foreign exchange window.

The local currency maintained consistent strength throughout the week, recording gains daily.

READ ALSO: Naira Appreciates Against Dollar At Foreign Exchange Market

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On Monday, May 19, it traded at ₦1,598.68; on Tuesday, at ₦1,590.45; and on Wednesday, at ₦1,584.49.

These gains suggest increased investor confidence and improved forex supply, contributing to the naira’s performance.

Meanwhile, the CBN, at its 300th Monetary Policy Committee meeting held Monday and Tuesday, retained the Monetary Policy Rate at 27.5 per cent.

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