Business
Inflation: Where Are We Going From Here? [OPINION]
Published
1 year agoon
By
Editor
Richard Asoge
Nothing depresses a man of the house like waking up early in the morning in preparation for the task of the day but not without doing all mathematical economics considering the size of his lean pocket. His take home can no longer take him to the bus-stop not to talk of providing for his households. Same applies to CEO of various small and medium scale enterprises. On daily basis, if not on hourly business transactions, he does calculations on overheads, cost of replacement of raw materials or ordering to arrive at fair price of each of the items available for sale so that the firm will not go under. The worst hit are the salary earners whose salary hardly changed. All these mathematical economics on daily basis would not have been necessary if the prices of goods and services were relatively stabled and not dangling like water lettuce on the sea.
We are in dire situation where you keep racking your brain on calculations over the price for the meal of the day, the transport fare or cost of putting your car on the road and other basic things that define the existence of humanity. You keep adjusting your spending downward until a point where it is no longer possible. The calculations you used in the last 24hours for buying some items of goods are no longer reliable just because the prices have move up almost immediately. Where are we going from here?
For any economy to have not just growth but sustainable development, inflation must be well monitored and guided. As a matter of fact, it should not go beyond the threshold of single digit. Going by the report of NBS for November 2023, inflation rate was 28.2 percent. Breaking it down further, inflation in food sector is leading the component to the historical level of 32.8 percent. This should be a concern to every right thinking individual and institution, be it local or foreign.
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Statutorily, the primary responsibility of the CBN as an institution is price stability. Every other function comes after price stability. This is a serious challenge to the monetary regulatory authority. Continuous failing in the purchasing power of naira can make one interact with the history of dark days of trade by barter.
Unsatisfying taste for foreign goods and services contributed in no small scale to the persistence fall in the value of naira. It will always be in that trend until we roll up the sleeves of our shirts for production and create value on our local products in such a way that those living outside the shore of Nigeria can not take their eyes off them. This will in turn bring in the foreign currency needed for settling international transactions. The proceeds of crude oil, being the major item for exportation that generates foreign exchange, is no longer enough to keep us in a good liquidity position as a country. How better the country would have been if leaders of various groups and opinion molders can demonstrate high level of patriotism by not just believing in Nigeria products but buy and use them. The effect will trickle down to the common man on the street.
In 2017, during one of the medical vacations of the President Mohammed Buhari, his Vice, Yemi Osinbajo signed three executive orders. One was on ease of doing business. Within 30 days, there was respite. There was fresh breath across the length and breadth of the country. Infact, exchange rate came down. This well thought out approached endeared many people to him till date. Is it not time for President Tinubu to sign appropriate executive order(s) and activate necessary machineries to alleviate the suffering of the citizens and rescue the small and medium scale enterprises that are currently gasping for breath? Whatever happens to the small and medium scale enterprises has its implication on the economy. Nigeria can not afford to add to the current high level of unemployment. No government anywhere in the world can provide jobs for all its citizens but putting necessary framework in place gingers small and medium scale enterprises not only to prosper but engage all that are willing to work.
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The Recent killing of two kings and kidnapping of staff and students of a private secondary school in Emure Ekiti, Ekiti Sttate, is a strong justification for supporting local vigilante called Amotekun to bear light weapons against these marauder killers and evil doers. In the time past, nobody dare looked into the eye of a traditional king not to talk of pointing gun at him. Such a fellow will not live to tell the story.
Fountain of knowledge state is known for intellectual prowess and farming. Each family had farm until recently when farms are no longer safe. This is why hunger is on the faces on the people not only in the state but across the country. We can not continue to use the same approach on a knotty issue and expect different result. It is time to have special court to try kidnapping cases with a timeline to conclude the case. Whoever is found culpable must be sentenced to death without option. This will naturally bring down the incidence if not total eradication.
Negotiation and Implementation of new minimum wage by the federal government and others are long overdue. No matter the amount agreed upon by the parties concern may just be like a medicine to the symptoms and not the root cause. In a matter of months, the money would have lost its value and then back to where we were coming from.
I look forward to seeing our president, President Bola Tinubu working round the clock for the poor to breath and as well secure the country before it fails.
Richard Asoge
Clappahouse Analytics
chards001@gmail.com
08081492614.
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The Naira experienced a slight depreciation on Friday at the official market, trading at N1,528.56 to the dollar.
Data obtained from the website of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that the Naira lost N2.73.
This represents a 0.17 percent loss compared to the N1,525.82 recorded on Thursday.
READ ALSO:Naira Appreciates At Official Market
The Naira, which opened the week on Monday with a gain of N9.52 against the dollar, held steady gains until Thursday.
On Wednesday, the local currency gained N3.42 against the dollar and received commendation from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The IMF, in its 2025 Article IV Consultation report on Nigeria, commended the CBN for its reforms to the foreign exchange market, which supported price discovery and liquidity.
Business
JUST IN: Dangote Refinery Hikes Petrol Ex-depot Price
Published
3 weeks agoon
June 20, 2025By
Editor
Nigerians may soon pay more for petrol as the Dangote Petroleum Refinery on Friday increased its ex-depot price for Premium Motor Spirit to N880 per litre, raising fresh concerns over fuel affordability and price volatility in the downstream sector.
Checks on petroleumprice.ng, a platform tracking daily product prices, and a Pro Forma Invoice seen by The PUNCH confirmed the hike, representing a N55 increase from the previous rate of N825 per litre.
The increment would ripple across the entire fuel distribution chain, likely pushing pump prices above N900/litre in some parts of the country, especially in areas far from the distribution hubs.
The hike comes despite global crude prices falling. Brent crude dipped by 3.02% to $76.47, WTI fell to $74.93, and Murban dropped to $76.97 on Friday. The decline in benchmarks offers little relief due to persistent fears of sudden supply disruptions.
READ ALSO: JUST IN: Dangote Refinery Sashes Petrol Gantry Price
The refinery has increased its reliance on imported U.S. crude and operational costs amid exchange rate instability, which adds to its pricing pressure.
On Thursday, the President of the Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, said his 650,000-barrel capacity refinery is “increasingly” relying on the United States for crude oil.
This came as findings showed that the Dangote Petroleum Refinery is projected to import a total of 17.65 million barrels of crude oil between April and July 2025, beginning with about 3.65 million barrels already delivered in the past two months, amid ongoing allocations under the Federal Government’s naira-for-crude policy.
Dangote informed the Technical Committee of the One-Stop Shop for the sale of crude and refined products in naira initiative that the refinery was still battling crude shortages, which had led it to resort to imports from the United States.
READ ALSO:Dangote Stops Petrol Sale In Naira, Gives Condition For Resumption
On Monday, the president of the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria, Festus Osifo, accused oil marketers of exploiting Nigerians through inflated petrol prices, insisting that the current pump price of PMS should range between N700 and N750 per litre.
He criticised the disparity between falling global crude oil prices and the stagnant retail price of petrol in Nigeria.
“If you go online and check the PLAT cost per cubic metre of PMS, convert that to litres and then to our Naira, you will see that with crude at around $60 per barrel, petrol should be retailing between N700 and N750 per litre.”
He asserted that if Nigerians bear the brunt of higher fuel costs, they should be allowed to enjoy the benefit of low pricing.
His forecast of increased costs now appears spot on, considering the latest developments.
Marketers are already adjusting. Depot owners and fuel distributors in Lagos and other cities anticipate a domino effect, with new price bands expected to follow Dangote’s lead.
Many had held back pricing decisions since Tuesday, when the refinery halted sales and withheld fresh PFIs. The delay fueled speculation, allowing opportunistic price hikes across various depots.

The Naira, which has seen steady appreciation against the Dollar all week, closed stronger on Friday, trading at ₦1,580.44 in the official forex market.
Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria’s website show the Naira gained ₦4.51k against the Dollar on Friday alone.
This marks a 0.28 per cent appreciation from Thursday’s closing rate of ₦1,584.95 in the official foreign exchange window.
The local currency maintained consistent strength throughout the week, recording gains daily.
READ ALSO: Naira Appreciates Against Dollar At Foreign Exchange Market
On Monday, May 19, it traded at ₦1,598.68; on Tuesday, at ₦1,590.45; and on Wednesday, at ₦1,584.49.
These gains suggest increased investor confidence and improved forex supply, contributing to the naira’s performance.
Meanwhile, the CBN, at its 300th Monetary Policy Committee meeting held Monday and Tuesday, retained the Monetary Policy Rate at 27.5 per cent.
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