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Inflation: Where Are We Going From Here? [OPINION]

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Richard Asoge

Nothing depresses a man of the house like waking up early in the morning in preparation for the task of the day but not without doing all mathematical economics considering the size of his lean pocket. His take home can no longer take him to the bus-stop not to talk of providing for his households. Same applies to CEO of various small and medium scale enterprises. On daily basis, if not on hourly business transactions, he does calculations on overheads, cost of replacement of raw materials or ordering to arrive at fair price of each of the items available for sale so that the firm will not go under. The worst hit are the salary earners whose salary hardly changed. All these mathematical economics on daily basis would not have been necessary if the prices of goods and services were relatively stabled and not dangling like water lettuce on the sea.

We are in dire situation where you keep racking your brain on calculations over the price for the meal of the day, the transport fare or cost of putting your car on the road and other basic things that define the existence of humanity. You keep adjusting your spending downward until a point where it is no longer possible. The calculations you used in the last 24hours for buying some items of goods are no longer reliable just because the prices have move up almost immediately. Where are we going from here?

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For any economy to have not just growth but sustainable development, inflation must be well monitored and guided. As a matter of fact, it should not go beyond the threshold of single digit. Going by the report of NBS for November 2023, inflation rate was 28.2 percent. Breaking it down further, inflation in food sector is leading the component to the historical level of 32.8 percent. This should be a concern to every right thinking individual and institution, be it local or foreign.

FROM THE AUTHOR: 2024 Budget: What Average Nigerian Wants?

Statutorily, the primary responsibility of the CBN as an institution is price stability. Every other function comes after price stability. This is a serious challenge to the monetary regulatory authority. Continuous failing in the purchasing power of naira can make one interact with the history of dark days of trade by barter.

Unsatisfying taste for foreign goods and services contributed in no small scale to the persistence fall in the value of naira. It will always be in that trend until we roll up the sleeves of our shirts for production and create value on our local products in such a way that those living outside the shore of Nigeria can not take their eyes off them. This will in turn bring in the foreign currency needed for settling international transactions. The proceeds of crude oil, being the major item for exportation that generates foreign exchange, is no longer enough to keep us in a good liquidity position as a country. How better the country would have been if leaders of various groups and opinion molders can demonstrate high level of patriotism by not just believing in Nigeria products but buy and use them. The effect will trickle down to the common man on the street.

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In 2017, during one of the medical vacations of the President Mohammed Buhari, his Vice, Yemi Osinbajo signed three executive orders. One was on ease of doing business. Within 30 days, there was respite. There was fresh breath across the length and breadth of the country. Infact, exchange rate came down. This well thought out approached endeared many people to him till date. Is it not time for President Tinubu to sign appropriate executive order(s) and activate necessary machineries to alleviate the suffering of the citizens and rescue the small and medium scale enterprises that are currently gasping for breath? Whatever happens to the small and medium scale enterprises has its implication on the economy. Nigeria can not afford to add to the current high level of unemployment. No government anywhere in the world can provide jobs for all its citizens but putting necessary framework in place gingers small and medium scale enterprises not only to prosper but engage all that are willing to work.

FROM THE AUTHOR: Subsidy Removal: A Measure To Re-Jig The Economy [OPINION]

The Recent killing of two kings and kidnapping of staff and students of a private secondary school in Emure Ekiti, Ekiti Sttate, is a strong justification for supporting local vigilante called Amotekun to bear light weapons against these marauder killers and evil doers. In the time past, nobody dare looked into the eye of a traditional king not to talk of pointing gun at him. Such a fellow will not live to tell the story.

Fountain of knowledge state is known for intellectual prowess and farming. Each family had farm until recently when farms are no longer safe. This is why hunger is on the faces on the people not only in the state but across the country. We can not continue to use the same approach on a knotty issue and expect different result. It is time to have special court to try kidnapping cases with a timeline to conclude the case. Whoever is found culpable must be sentenced to death without option. This will naturally bring down the incidence if not total eradication.

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Negotiation and Implementation of new minimum wage by the federal government and others are long overdue. No matter the amount agreed upon by the parties concern may just be like a medicine to the symptoms and not the root cause. In a matter of months, the money would have lost its value and then back to where we were coming from.

I look forward to seeing our president, President Bola Tinubu working round the clock for the poor to breath and as well secure the country before it fails.

Richard Asoge
Clappahouse Analytics
chards001@gmail.com
08081492614.

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PHOTOS: 300 NNPC Trucks Converge On Dangote Refinery To Lift Petrol

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company, NNPC, Limited’s trucks are arriving the Dangote Refinery ahead of loading of petrol tomorrow, Sunday, as scheduled.

In total, 300 NNPC trucks will be ready to load petrol.

The company’s Chief Corporate Communications Officer, Olufemi Soneye, told Vanguard: “We (NNPC Ltd) has started deploying our trucks and vessels to the Dangote Refinery to lift PMS (petrol), in preparation for the scheduled lifting date of September 15th, as set by the refinery.

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“Our trucks and personnel are already on site, ready to begin lifting.

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“We are expecting more trucks, and the deployment will continue throughout the weekend so we can start loading as soon as the refinery begins operations on the 15th (tomorrow).

On X (Twitter), Soneye wrote: “NNPC Ltd. trucks are arriving at the Dangote Refinery in preparation for the scheduled petrol loading on Sunday, September 15, 2024.

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“By the end of today, at least 300 trucks will be stationed at the refinery’s fuel loading gantry.”

Earlier, NNPC made same announcement.

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It posted that “In preparation for the Dangote Refinery’s scheduled petrol loading on Sunday, September 15, 2024, NNPC Ltd. has been mobilising trucks to the refinery’s fuel loading gantry in Ibeju-Lekki.

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“As of Saturday afternoon, NNPC Ltd. had deployed over 100 trucks, with hundreds more en route.”

Below are images of the NNPC trucks that had arrived the Dangote Refinery facility for petrol:

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NNPCL, Dangote In Marathon Meetings Over Petrol Pricing

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Pricing of the Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) has been a key agenda in the marathon meetings between the managements of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPCL) and Dangote Petroleum Limited in the last few weeks, The Nation learnt.

A source of the National Oil Company, who was privy to the meetings, which have been holding in the NNPCL Tower, Abuja, said they also tabled other matters relating to pricing.

The source, who only spoke with The Nation in confidence said: “We have been holding meetings for over three weeks now, discussing various issues, with pricing being one of the key topics, along with other related matters.”

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READ ALSO: NNPCL Announces Date Dangote’s Petrol Will Flood Market, Prices To Be determined by Market Forces
The meetings are certainly the roundtable negotiations following their previous disagreements over pricing.

Dangote Group President Aliko Dangote had said the product was regulated by NNPCL.

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It also added that the state-owned oil firm was yet to fix the pump for the PMS.

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READ ALSO: Nigerian Groan As NNPCL Increases Fuel Pump Price

After days of conjecture about the pricing and sale of the product, NNPCL insisted it will certainly procure the product offshore if it is not cheaper in the Nigeria’s domestic refineries.

The NNPCL’s current petrol pump price is N897 per litre with independent marketers vending the product for as much as N1,200 per litre and black marketers selling in plastic Jerry cans uncontrollably for as much as N13,000 per 10 litre.

This has resulted in endless queues around the NNPCL retail outlets and the independent stations.
NATION

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Naira Depreciates Further In Parallel Market

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The Naira continued its downward trend on Friday, depreciating to N1,660 per dollar in the parallel market.

This represents a slight decline from the N1,655 per dollar traded on Thursday.

In a similar vein, the Naira depreciated to N1,546.41 per dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Friday. According to data from FMDQ, the indicative exchange rate for NAFEM fell from N1,649.76 per dollar on Thursday, indicating a marginal appreciation of N103.35 for the Naira.

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READ ALSO: Naira Slumps Massively Against Dollar On Tuesday

However, the gap between the parallel market and NAFEM rates widened significantly, increasing to N113.59 per dollar from N5.24 per dollar the previous day. This growing disparity highlights the ongoing instability in the foreign exchange market.

 

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