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Inflation: Where Are We Going From Here? [OPINION]

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Richard Asoge

Nothing depresses a man of the house like waking up early in the morning in preparation for the task of the day but not without doing all mathematical economics considering the size of his lean pocket. His take home can no longer take him to the bus-stop not to talk of providing for his households. Same applies to CEO of various small and medium scale enterprises. On daily basis, if not on hourly business transactions, he does calculations on overheads, cost of replacement of raw materials or ordering to arrive at fair price of each of the items available for sale so that the firm will not go under. The worst hit are the salary earners whose salary hardly changed. All these mathematical economics on daily basis would not have been necessary if the prices of goods and services were relatively stabled and not dangling like water lettuce on the sea.

We are in dire situation where you keep racking your brain on calculations over the price for the meal of the day, the transport fare or cost of putting your car on the road and other basic things that define the existence of humanity. You keep adjusting your spending downward until a point where it is no longer possible. The calculations you used in the last 24hours for buying some items of goods are no longer reliable just because the prices have move up almost immediately. Where are we going from here?

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For any economy to have not just growth but sustainable development, inflation must be well monitored and guided. As a matter of fact, it should not go beyond the threshold of single digit. Going by the report of NBS for November 2023, inflation rate was 28.2 percent. Breaking it down further, inflation in food sector is leading the component to the historical level of 32.8 percent. This should be a concern to every right thinking individual and institution, be it local or foreign.

FROM THE AUTHOR: 2024 Budget: What Average Nigerian Wants?

Statutorily, the primary responsibility of the CBN as an institution is price stability. Every other function comes after price stability. This is a serious challenge to the monetary regulatory authority. Continuous failing in the purchasing power of naira can make one interact with the history of dark days of trade by barter.

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Unsatisfying taste for foreign goods and services contributed in no small scale to the persistence fall in the value of naira. It will always be in that trend until we roll up the sleeves of our shirts for production and create value on our local products in such a way that those living outside the shore of Nigeria can not take their eyes off them. This will in turn bring in the foreign currency needed for settling international transactions. The proceeds of crude oil, being the major item for exportation that generates foreign exchange, is no longer enough to keep us in a good liquidity position as a country. How better the country would have been if leaders of various groups and opinion molders can demonstrate high level of patriotism by not just believing in Nigeria products but buy and use them. The effect will trickle down to the common man on the street.

In 2017, during one of the medical vacations of the President Mohammed Buhari, his Vice, Yemi Osinbajo signed three executive orders. One was on ease of doing business. Within 30 days, there was respite. There was fresh breath across the length and breadth of the country. Infact, exchange rate came down. This well thought out approached endeared many people to him till date. Is it not time for President Tinubu to sign appropriate executive order(s) and activate necessary machineries to alleviate the suffering of the citizens and rescue the small and medium scale enterprises that are currently gasping for breath? Whatever happens to the small and medium scale enterprises has its implication on the economy. Nigeria can not afford to add to the current high level of unemployment. No government anywhere in the world can provide jobs for all its citizens but putting necessary framework in place gingers small and medium scale enterprises not only to prosper but engage all that are willing to work.

FROM THE AUTHOR: Subsidy Removal: A Measure To Re-Jig The Economy [OPINION]

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The Recent killing of two kings and kidnapping of staff and students of a private secondary school in Emure Ekiti, Ekiti Sttate, is a strong justification for supporting local vigilante called Amotekun to bear light weapons against these marauder killers and evil doers. In the time past, nobody dare looked into the eye of a traditional king not to talk of pointing gun at him. Such a fellow will not live to tell the story.

Fountain of knowledge state is known for intellectual prowess and farming. Each family had farm until recently when farms are no longer safe. This is why hunger is on the faces on the people not only in the state but across the country. We can not continue to use the same approach on a knotty issue and expect different result. It is time to have special court to try kidnapping cases with a timeline to conclude the case. Whoever is found culpable must be sentenced to death without option. This will naturally bring down the incidence if not total eradication.

Negotiation and Implementation of new minimum wage by the federal government and others are long overdue. No matter the amount agreed upon by the parties concern may just be like a medicine to the symptoms and not the root cause. In a matter of months, the money would have lost its value and then back to where we were coming from.

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I look forward to seeing our president, President Bola Tinubu working round the clock for the poor to breath and as well secure the country before it fails.

Richard Asoge
Clappahouse Analytics
chards001@gmail.com
08081492614.

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CBN Sets POS Maximum Transactions In Fresh Guidelines

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The Central Bank of Nigeria has rolled out fresh guidelines for agent banking, known as Point of Sales, across the country.

The apex also in the guidelines pegged daily POS transactions at N1.2 million per agent and N100,000 per individual.

CBN disclosed this in a circular signed by its Director of the Payments System Management Department, Musa Jimoh.

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The guidelines further mandate all financial institutions to publish the list of all their POS agents on their website and to display it in their branches.

READ ALSO:CBN Establishes New Unit To Tackle Financial Crime

CBN noted that the guidelines would take effect from April 1, 2026.

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“The Guidelines aim to establish minimum standards for operating agent banking in Nigeria, enhancing agent banking to provide financial services and promoting financial inclusion, encouraging responsible market conduct and improving service quality in agent banking operations.

“This circular takes effect from the date of release, while the implementation of agent location and agent exclusivity shall be in effect from April 1, 2026.

“POS agents are restricted to a maximum of N1.2 million per day. Individual customers are limited to N100,000 in daily transactions.

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“These limits are intended to curb misuse, enhance financial integrity, and protect consumers within the agent banking framework,” it stated.

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Naira Records First Appreciation Against US Dollar At Official Market

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The Naira recorded appreciation on Wednesday against the United States dollar at the official market, the first time in three days this week.

The Central Bank of Nigeria’s exchange rate data showed that the Naira strengthened to N 1,470.62 per dollar on Wednesday, up from N1,471.09 traded on Tuesday.

This means that the country’s currency firmed up slightly by N0.47 against the dollar on a day-to-day basis.

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READ ALSO:Naira Appreciates Massively Against US Dollar In The Black Market, Highest In 15 Months

Monday and Tuesday, the Naira recorded negative sentiment at the official foreign exchange market.

However, at the black market, the Naira remained unchanged at N1,500 per dollar on Wednesday, the same rate exchanged on Tuesday.

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The apex bank data indicated that the country’s external reserves, a determinant of the exchange rates, stood at $42.57 billion as of October 7, 2025.

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SEC Warns Nigerians Of AfriQuantumX Ponzi scheme

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Nigeria’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has named AfriQuatum, with a claimed worth of N76 billion, as a Ponzi scheme.

The regulator also urged the public to be cautious about investing with the firm.

SEC disclosed this in a recent statement.

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According to the SEC, any person who places an investment or engages with the entity does so at his or her own risk, adding that its operations exhibit characteristics commonly associated with fraudulent Ponzi schemes.

READ ALSO:SEC Warns Nigerians Over AI-generated Investment Scams

“The attention of the Securities and Exchange Commission has been drawn to the activities of AfriQuantumX, which holds itself out as an investment platform trading on and selling cryptocurrency and stocks to investors in Nigeria.

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“The Commission hereby informs the public that AfriQuantumX is not registered by the Commission either to solicit investments from the public or operate in any capacity within the Nigerian capital market,” SEC stated.

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