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Naira Scarcity May Affect Private Business In Q1 – Report

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The February Purchasing Managers’ Index data released by Stanbic IBTC Bank indicated that the shortage of cash across the country in the month of February might have a negative influence on the private sector halfway through the first quarter of the year.

It will be recalled that in February, Nigerians were faced with fuel and naira scarcity.

Part of the report read, “The headline PMI dropped below the 50.0 no-change mark in February, posting 44.7 from 53.5 in January. Business conditions deteriorated markedly, ending a 31-month sequence of expansion.

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“The decline in operating conditions was the sharpest since the survey began in January 2014, excluding the opening wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in the second quarter of 2020.

“The most severe impacts of cash shortages were seen with regards to output and new orders, which both fell substantially as customers were often unable to secure the funds to commit to spending.”

It added that “The decline in new orders was the first since June 2020, while the fall in output ended a seven-month sequence of growth. In both cases, the reductions were the most pronounced in the survey’s history, apart from during the opening wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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READ ALSO: Naira Redesign: Nigerians React To Supreme Court’s Latest Decision

“With new orders and output falling, companies reduced their input buying and staffing levels accordingly. The declines were the first in 32 and 25 months respectively. The decrease in purchasing reflected not only a drop in customer demand but also difficulties for companies to find the funds to pay for items.”

The report also showed that scarcity of cash also led to an increase in the cost of fuel, and operational costs of businesses and organisations.

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“Higher raw material costs and currency weakness were also factors pushing up purchase prices.

“The rate of inflation was the softest since June 2020, but marked nonetheless and stronger than the series average. Staff costs also rose again in February, but at a modest pace,” the report added.

 

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Naira Depreciates At Official FX Market

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The Nigerian naira depreciated slightly against the United States (US) dollar, trading at N1,343.6398 per dollar at the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) official foreign exchange window on Friday, 17th April, 2026.

According to the data on the CBN’s official platform, the naira traded at the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) rate of N1,343.6398/$per dollar and closed at N1,342.5000 per dollar.

When compared with the previous trading rate, the Nigerian currency traded at N1342.3037 on 16th April, 2026. With this, the Nigerian currency depreciated slightly by a minimum of N1.3.

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READ ALSO:Naira Records Appreciation Against US Dollar

At the parallel market, the naira-to-dollar exchange rate for the buying rate didn’t change while the selling rate increased by N3 when compared to that of the previous trading rate.

According to Aboki FX , the Naira-to-dollar exchange rate at the black market on Friday, 17th April, 2026, was N1,395 and N1,405 per dollar for buying and selling rate respectively.

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Crude Oil Prices Jump As Fear Mounts On Fresh Domestic Petrol Hike In Nigeria

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Crude oil prices surged by 7 percent on Monday amid United States President Donald Trump’s planned blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

Checks by DAILY POST on Monday showed that West Texas Intermediate and Brent rose to $103 per barrel and $101 per barrel, respectively.

The latest crude price rally comes as US-Iran peace talks, reportedly orchestrated by Pakistan, collapsed.

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Recall that President Trump, at the weekend, said via his Truth Social account that the US Navy will begin “BLOCKADING any and all ships trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz.”

In response, Iran warned the US of the dangers of a Strait of Hormuz blockade.

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The tension in the Strait of Hormuz has pushed crude oil prices higher.

The development has reignited concerns over a fresh domestic fuel price hike in Nigeria.

Petrol is currently being dispensed in Nigeria between N1,290 and N1,350 per litre across filling stations

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Nigerian Govt Announces New Tariffs, Cuts Duty On Rice, Cars, Drugs, Sugar

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The Federal Government has approved the implementation of the 2026 Fiscal Policy Measures, FPM, introducing sweeping changes to import tariffs aimed at stimulating growth across key sectors of the economy.

The approval was conveyed in a document dated April 1, 2026, and signed by the Minister of Finance, Wale Edun. The new policy replaces the 2023 FPM.

A major highlight of the policy is the review of import duties across 127 tariff lines, covering items such as rice, sugar, vehicles, and industrial inputs. The government said the reductions are designed to “promote and stimulate growth in critical sectors of the economy”.

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Under the revised regime, the Import Adjustment Tax, IAT, on products like crude palm oil has been set at a total effective rate of 28.75 percent, down from higher rates under previous tariff structures.

In the automotive sector, tariffs on fully built passenger vehicles, including four-wheel drives and station wagons, have been reduced to 40 percent from 70 percent as stipulated in the 2015 FPM.

READ ALSO:FG Announces Correction Underway For Nigeria’s New Tax Law, Admits Errors

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To ease the transition, the government granted a 90-day grace period for importers who opened Form ‘M’ before April 1, allowing them to clear goods at the old rates.

However, the policy also introduces a new excise duty regime alongside a green tax surcharge, both scheduled to take effect from July 1, 2026.

Key Tariff Adjustments:

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Here is a summary of details of the gazetted list outlining revised duties on several goods:

Antimalarial medicaments: 20%

Rice (bulk or >5kg): 47.5% (from 70%)

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Broken rice: 30% (from 70%)

Wheat or meslin flour: 70%

Crude palm oil: 28.75% (from 35%)

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READ ALSO:EXPLAINER: What Lagos Residents Need To Know Before March 31 Tax Return Deadline

Raw cane sugar: 55% (from 70%)

Cane/beet sugar (powder/granule): 57.5% (from 70%)

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Margarine (excluding liquid): 40%

Refined salt: 55% (from 70%)

Envelopes: 40% (from 50%)

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Diaries/notebooks: 30% (from 40%)

Unglazed ceramic tiles: 35% (from 40%)

Glazed ceramic tiles: 46.25% (from 55%)

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Ceramic cubes (<7 cm): 35% (from 40%)

Steel and Industrial Inputs

Zinc-coated steel sheets: 35% (from 45%)

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Aluminum-coated steel coils: 35% (from 45%)

Electroplated steel: 35% (from 45%)

READ ALSO:KPMG Flags Five Major ‘Errors’ In Nigerian Tax Laws

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Cold-rolled steel (<0.25% carbon): 15% Hot-rolled deformed steel bars: 35% (from 45%) Steel rods (5.5mm–14mm): 35% (from 45%) Other Key Adjustments: Electrical apparatus (e.g., fuses): 10% (from 20%) Railway/tramway locomotives (SKD/CKD): 0% (from 5%) Cargo ships (>500 tonnes): 0% (from 5%)

Breathing appliances and gas masks: 0% (from 5%)

Agricultural and manufacturing machinery: 0% (from 5%)

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Modular surgical operating theaters: 5% (from 20%)

Air/vacuum pumps and compressors: 5% (from 10%)

Automatic circuit breakers: 10% (from 20%)

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Lamp holders: 10% (from 20%)

Green Tax Exemptions:

The policy also outlines categories exempted from the planned green tax surcharge. These include –

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Vehicles below 2000cc

Mass transit buses (heading 87.02)

Electric vehicles

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Locally manufactured vehicles under specified headings (87.06–87.13)

The government said the overall reforms are part of efforts to balance revenue generation with economic stimulation, while supporting local industries and easing the cost of critical imports.

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