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OPINION: Is This The Renewed Hope Nigerians Subscribed To?

Published

1 year ago

July 1, 2024

By Richard Asoge

In anticipation to get the economy fixed for growth and development after some years of cankerworm, corruption and leakages, Nigerians came out putting aside propaganda on Saturday, February 25th, 2023 and voted relatively for the presidential candidate of All Progressive Party (APC), Bola Tinubu. The support he got from the people was not unconnected to the way he had built bridges among people of different culture, religion and ethnic groups, how he remodel Lagos during his tenure as governor between 1999 and 2007 and most importantly, how his political wizardry will turn the fortune of the country for good if eventually elected president.

The declaration of ‘subsidy is gone’ in the inaugural speech on May 29th, 2023 by President Bola Tinubu may be a landmark decision considering what had happened in the past in the oil sector but the policy effect thereafter was weighty. Nobody ever thought it can go so deep and far this way before the desired results will be achieved or that the policy effect will be evaluated after some weeks of implementation to consider initiating another policy to absorb, to some extent, the negative effect of the sudden and total subsidy removal on petrol but this was not really so.

While grappling with the effect of the fuel subsidy removal, within two weeks, unification of exchange rate took its stand. Of course, no right-thinking Nigerian having the knowledge of how very few but connected ones were eaten fat from the common patrimony of the nation which persistently made the foreign reserve to nosedive would oppose the unification of exchange rate. The twin effects of the fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate unification with insecurity without another policy measure within three or six months to crowd-out these effects brought us to this ugly situation we find ourself today.

MORE FROM THE AUTHOR: Inflation: Where Are We Going From Here? [OPINION]

We have never had it so high and rapid as far as inflation is concerned in the last 28years. Going by what National Bureau of Statistics published for May 2024 (year on year basis), inflation is 33.95 percent. Breaking it down further into components, food was the most dreaded among them with 40.66 percent on a year on year basis. Agricultural produce is fast declining as a result of insecurity in the hinterland and tropical forests. To make things worse, the current generation of youth do not see faming as a vocation worthy of practicing but spending productive hours on social media.

There is a strong connection between diet and illness. The more nutritious your food is, the higher the immune system to resist any sickness. The current outbreak of cholera in most of the states is traceable to consumption of junks. Average income of individual is far below what can keep life together. Naira has lost its purchasing power and has led many to consume half rotten if not totally rotten foods. Hunger reflects on the faces of individual with no end in sight. An hungry man is an angry man, goes an African proverb. Poverty is getting wider. Only God knows the current position Nigeria occupies among hunger nations. In 2023 it ranked 109 of the 125 selected countries with 28.3percent in the hunger index.

One of the things highlighted to bring relieve to commuters was conversion of vehicles to Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) type. How many vehicles have been successfully converted to CNG? and what is the ratio to the population of vehicles? One year has gone now with no significant success in the conversion ratio to the 2027 target.

MORE FROM THE AUTHOR: 2024 Budget: What Average Nigerian Wants?

Before oil dominated the structure of Nigeria economy, internal factors determined prices of goods and services and not external factors like exchange rate. Recently, crypto currency and related activities joined the external factors. The more an economy is linked to foreign transaction for survival, the higher the risk politically, socially and economically. Believing and placing our local goods and services above foreign ones is a sure cure.

To fight hunger and bring down the foods’ prices, real action of all is needed. Ministry of Agriculture or Departments related to agriculture across the tiers of government must practice agriculture in full scale. Local government, been the closest to the people, must practice farming as their leading business ventures. For those that may not have land to practice, it is not bad to have memorandum of understanding with the neighboring local government or state. In year 2016, Lagos State followed that path during the tenure of Akinwumi Ambode as governor by having an arrangement with Kebbi State under the leadership of Atiku Bagudu in the production of rice branded as ‘Lake Rice’. Other states or entity can copy such model and fine tune it if needed and bring something good out of it. No state is idle without having comparative advantage in one area over others. Continuity of policy is our greatest enemy. Lake Rice production only lasted for six years and nothing of such is heard thereafter.

Now that the revenue of various tiers of government has substantially increased, it shouldn’t be an avenue for political office holders to increase their entitlements at the expense of majority whose activities generated the revenue but opportunity to close deficit gaps of basic infrastructure. This takes me to the new minimum wage being negotiated between Federal Government and Nigeria Labour Congress with other concerned parties. N62,000 been offered as minimum wage by Federal Government or N100,000 been canvassed for by many analysts shouldn’t be the primary concern of most Nigerians but the sustainability and the value of every naira in the market place. if N100,000 or more is sealed and gazette today as new minimum wage but only to realize after two months that $1 goes for N4,000 and every other price of local items assumes exponential rise including items that do not have any foreign input, will it make economic sense? Definitely, none. Another negotiation may not come up until five years. This is why price stability should be a serious concern.

Hope of average Nigerian is renewed when there is food on the table and price stability is ensured.

Richard Asoge
08081492614
chards001@gmail.com

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Why Europe Is Blocking More Nigerian Goods At Its Borders

Published

2 hours ago

December 3, 2025

Editor

Nigeria’s exports continue to face repeated rejection in European Union markets, a challenge caused by consistent quality failures, weak regulatory enforcement, and heavy dependence on raw commodities.

New trade figures further show that while export values expressed in naira have risen sharply, dollar earnings have continued to decline, undermining Nigeria’s competitiveness abroad.

Meanwhile, South Africa remains one of the African countries with the highest rate of export acceptance in Nigeria and the EU, highlighting the gaps between both economies’ standards and certification systems.

According to data from International Trade Centre (ITC) , Nigeria’s export earnings fell for a second consecutive year in 2024, dropping by 8.5% to $57.9 billion.

The figure had already declined from $63.3 billion in 2022 to $60.65 billion in 2023. In naira terms, however, total exports rose from ₦26.8 trillion in 2022 to ₦36 trillion in 2023 and surged to ₦77.4 trillion in 2024.

These increases reflect the naira’s steep depreciation, not an improvement in the volume or acceptance of Nigerian goods overseas.

Intelpoint data show that the naira weakened from ₦645.2 to the dollar at the end of 2023 to ₦1,478.9 in 2024, marking the sharpest yearly decline in a decade.

EU border agencies have repeatedly rejected Nigerian agricultural and manufactured goods for failing to meet essential sanitary and phytosanitary requirements.

Frequent violations include excessive pesticide residue, poor traceability, contamination detected during inspection, and inconsistencies in certification documentation issued in Nigeria.

These failures stem largely from fragmented supply chains, weak monitoring capacity and a lack of internationally accredited laboratories.

South Africa, Morocco and Kenya maintain far stronger conformity systems, and South Africa in particular consistently delivers some of the highest acceptance rates across EU ports.

The ITC figures show that oil remains the backbone of Nigeria’s exports, contributing nearly 90 per cent of total earnings between 2022 and 2024. Over that period, the country earned $163.2 billion from crude oil out of total export revenues of $181.8 billion.

Despite this dominance, oil earnings have continued to fall, declining from $57.4 billion in 2022 to $55.6 billion in 2023 and then to $50.3 billion in 2024.

Because crude prices are determined externally and the product is exported with limited value addition, Nigeria gains little competitive advantage from currency depreciation.

Non-oil exports recorded mixed fortunes. Cocoa earnings rose from $679 million in 2022 to $759 million in 2023 and climbed sharply to $2.6 billion in 2024.

Fertiliser exports fell from $1.9 billion in 2022 to $935.4 million in 2024. Ores and residues, however, increased from $158.6 million in 2023 to $824.4 million in 2024.

Despite positive growth in some sectors, quality problems have continued to undermine acceptance in Europe, particularly for foods such as beans, palm oil and processed crops.

Nigeria recorded stronger performance in African markets in 2024 due to the relative strength of the West African CFA franc.

Companies such as Unilever Nigeria, Cadbury Nigeria and Guinness Nigeria reported export sales of ₦22.8 billion in 2024, up from ₦9.92 billion in the preceding year. EU markets, however, maintain stricter inspection standards, and Nigeria’s structural weaknesses continue to limit penetration.

The country’s export structure remains heavily constrained by outdated processing technology, weak inspection capacity, irregular regulatory monitoring, and an overreliance on raw commodities.

Also, pipeline vandalism and crude theft also prevent Nigeria from meeting its production benchmark of 1.7 million barrels per day, despite a rise to 1.5 million barrels per day in 2024.

In December 2023, the Federal Government introduced the Trade Policy of Nigeria (2023–2027), aimed at aligning export regulations with World Trade Organisation rules and boosting global competitiveness.

The policy forms part of a wider reform agenda tied to the Medium-Term National Development Plan (2021–2025) and Agenda 2050.

Despite these initiatives, limited investment in quality assurance, industrial processing and standards enforcement continues to weaken Nigeria’s acceptance in high-value markets such as the EU.

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US Imposes Visa Restrictions On Nigerians Linked To Religious Freedom Violations

Published

5 hours ago

December 3, 2025

Editor

The United States government on Wednesday announced visa restrictions targeting individuals involved in violations of religious freedom in Nigeria. The measures may also extend to immediate family members of the affected persons.

In a statement titled “Combating Egregious Anti-Christian Violence in Nigeria and Globally”, the Department of State said the restrictions were being implemented in response to mass killings and attacks on Christians by radical Islamic terrorists, Fulani militias, and other violent actors in Nigeria and elsewhere.

The statement explained that under Section 212(a)(3)(C) of the Immigration and Nationality Act, the State Department would now have the authority to deny visas to those who have “directed, authorised, significantly supported, participated in, or carried out violations of religious freedom,” with the policy potentially extending to their immediate family members.

It further cited former President Donald Trump’s remarks, noting that the United States “cannot stand by while such atrocities are happening in Nigeria, and numerous other countries.” The policy will apply to Nigeria and other governments or individuals implicated in violations of religious freedom.

The announcement follows growing international concern over attacks on religious communities in Nigeria, including targeted killings, abductions, and destruction of property attributed to armed groups.

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Putin Says Russia Ready For War, Blames Europe For Sabotaging Peace

Published

1 day ago

December 2, 2025

Editor

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday that Russia was “ready” for war if Europe seeks one, accusing the continent’s leaders of trying to sabotage a deal on the Ukraine conflict before he met with US envoys.

The comments came as US envoy Steve Witkoff and President Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner were in Moscow for high-stakes talks on ending the nearly four-year war, which were preceded by days of intense diplomacy.

“We are not planning to go to war with Europe, but if Europe wants to and starts, we are ready right now,” Putin told reporters in Moscow.

“They have no peaceful agenda, they are on the side of war,” he added, repeating his claim that European leaders were hindering US attempts to broker peace in Ukraine.

He added that European changes to Trump’s latest plan to end the war “aimed solely at one thing — to completely block the entire peace process and put forward demands that are absolutely unacceptable for Russia”.

Washington has presented a 28-point draft to end the conflict, later amended after criticism from Kyiv and Europe, which viewed it as heeding to many of Russia’s maximalist demands.

The plan to end the war is championed by Trump, but European countries fear it risks forcing Kyiv to cave in to Russian demands, notably on territory.

Fearing further Russian aggression, Europe has repeatedly said an unfair peace should not be imposed on Ukraine.

The Trump envoys are now seeking to finalise the plan with the approval of Moscow and Kyiv.
AFP